The Scottish Conservatives have achieved a historic milestone by winning the Aberdeen South Westminster by-election, a seat previously held by the Scottish National Party (SNP). This victory marks the first time in over 50 years that the Conservatives have secured a Westminster by-election win in Scotland. The triumph came as Douglas Lumsden, a former oil and gas worker, defeated SNP candidate Richard Thomson by a substantial margin of more than 6,000 votes.
Meanwhile, the SNP managed to hold onto the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry seat with Lara Bird securing the victory. The by-elections were triggered by the resignations of SNP MPs Stephen Flynn and Stephen Gethins, who both moved to the Scottish Parliament.
The Significance of the Aberdeen South Victory
The Aberdeen South seat is crucial as it is at the heart of the UK’s energy debate. The UK government has designated Aberdeen as the home of GB Energy, its newly established publicly-owned energy company. Lumsden, who will resign from the Scottish Parliament due to the dual mandate ban, emphasized that the victory was a clear message from constituents that the oil and gas industry must be protected.
Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch hailed the result as significantnoting that the support came from voters who had never voted Conservative before. She stressed that the party is working to regain the trust of the country and is grateful for the support in Aberdeen South. Badenoch also highlighted the contrast between the Makerfield by-election, which was about one man’s job, and Aberdeen South, which was about thousands of jobs in the oil and gas sector and the future of the entire city.
The SNP’s Response and Future Implications
SNP’s Stephen Flynn, now Scotland’s economy secretary, acknowledged the tough night and called for reflection within the party. He expressed confidence that the SNP could regain the seat if they get things right. The SNP’s defeat in Aberdeen South comes amidst recent controversies, including the embezzlement scandal involving former chief executive Peter Murrell, who admitted to stealing over £400,000 of SNP funds.
Lara Bird, the SNP’s winner in Arbroath and Broughty Ferry, celebrated her victory by stating that voters had rejected the politics of division and hate. She reiterated that Scotland’s future lies with independence. The SNP’s performance in Arbroath and Broughty Ferry was seen as a positive outcome, with Bird securing a majority of over 5,000 votes over the Conservatives.
The Broader Political Landscape
The Conservatives’ victory in Aberdeen South is a significant shift in the political landscape of Scotland. It indicates a growing discontent with the SNP’s policies, particularly regarding the oil and gas industry. The substantial swing away from the SNP, coupled with the low turnout of 38%, suggests that tactical voting played a crucial role in the outcome.
As Douglas Lumsden prepares to take his seat in Westminster, the focus will be on how the Conservatives can capitalize on this victory and address the concerns of the constituents in Aberdeen South. The SNP, meanwhile, will need to reflect on their strategies and policies to regain the trust of voters in the region.



